Financial Analysis, Modelling & Forecasting training course will focus on the financial analysis and modeling skills that the modern finance professionals need to manage the risks and uncertainties in today’s challenging world, providing high-quality business support to the organization’s key decision-makers.
This course is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics, and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques.
It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univariate and multivariate methods, discussing the various techniques used by industry, with a particular focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail.
Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in primary assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation.
Then we are move on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing.
The course concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in huge and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated.
You might be interested in other Financial Courses as a next step.
You will learn how to
Plan the design and functionality of financial models in Excel
Use powerful functions built into Excel for statistical and economic analysis
Apply financial analysis techniques to improve investment decision-making
Design and develop financial models for forecasting sales, costs, and profit
Implement up to date techniques for managing risk and uncertainty
Use economic models to assist in business decision-making
IMPORTANT COURSE INFORMATION
Participants who fully attend this course and complete the test on the last day will receive a Strategic Axis Professional Certificate (SAPC). SAPC certificates are regionally recognized and can be quite valuable when applying for more senior roles within the organization or outside.
COURSE OUTLINE